{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "# National mathematics example\n", "Here we provide a usage example of the IRTorch package using data from the national mathematics test for Swedish high school students. We will not do an in-depth analysis of the data, but rather showcase some of the main features of IRTorch to enable the user to analyze their own data.\n", "\n", "Users are referred to the API reference section of the documentation for more detailed information of different functions and classes. Note that the results might vary slightly from those presented here due to differences in the computing hardware (CPU or GPU), the operating system, and the versions of the packages used.\n", "\n", "If you prefer to run the code directly, you can download this example Jupyter notebook from the [GitHub repository](https://github.com/joakimwallmark/irtorch/blob/main/docs/source/notebooks/national_mathematics.ipynb)." ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Load the libraries\n", "We start by loading the libraries and modules that we will use for this example." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "import pandas as pd\n", "import numpy as np\n", "import torch\n", "import irtorch\n", "from irtorch.models import GeneralizedPartialCredit, MonotoneNN\n", "from irtorch.rescale import Bit\n", "from irtorch.estimation_algorithms import MML, JML" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "
" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ " \n", " " ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "import plotly\n", "plotly.offline.init_notebook_mode()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "
" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## The test data\n", "The package requires the data to be in a PyTorch tensor with test takers as rows and items as columns. The item responses should be coded 0, 1, ... and missing responses coded as `nan`. If you have, for example, a pandas dataframe, you can convert it to a tensor using `torch.tensor(df.to_numpy())`. This is illustrated with some random data below." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "tensor([[3., nan, 1., 2., 3.],\n", " [nan, nan, nan, 3., 0.],\n", " [2., 4., 3., 3., 3.],\n", " [4., 1., 0., 0., nan],\n", " [nan, 3., 0., 2., 1.],\n", " [1., 1., nan, nan, 0.],\n", " [2., 3., 2., 2., 1.],\n", " [2., 4., 1., 4., 4.],\n", " [2., 0., 3., nan, nan],\n", " [4., 3., 3., 1., 3.]], dtype=torch.float64)\n" ] } ], "source": [ "np.random.seed(42)\n", "example_df = pd.DataFrame({f\"Item {i}\": np.random.randint(0, 5, 10) for i in range(1, 6)})\n", "missing_indices = np.random.choice(example_df.index, size=10, replace=False)\n", "for col in example_df.columns:\n", " example_df.loc[np.random.choice(missing_indices, size=2, replace=False), col] = np.nan\n", "\n", "example_tensor = torch.tensor(example_df.to_numpy())\n", "print(example_tensor)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "In this example, we will use data from the Swedish national mathematics test. Two datasets from this test are provided within the package and we will use the second one. Feel free to explore the first one one you own, using `irtorch.load_dataset.swedish_national_mathematics_1()`." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 4, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "data_math = irtorch.load_dataset.swedish_national_mathematics_2()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Construct the model\n", "We start by creating a Generalized Partial Credit (GPC) model. It requires the number of possible responses/scores for each item but these can be automatically computed from the data when supplied." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 5, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "irtorch.set_seed(42)\n", "gpc = GeneralizedPartialCredit(data=data_math)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "In the same fashion, we initialize a more flexible Monotone Neural Network (MNN) model for comparison. For more details on these IRT models and other available models, see the [IRT Models](./../irt_models.rst) section." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 6, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "irtorch.set_seed(42)\n", "mnn = MonotoneNN(data = data_math)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Fitting the model" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Each model can now be fit using the `fit()` instance method. `fit()` requires the model training data as a tensor, together with an instance of the chosen fitting algorithm. In these examples, we will use the MML algorithm for the GPC model and the JML algorithm for the MNN model.\n", "\n", "We recommend splitting your test data into a training and a test set to ensure we are not overfitting the model as below. Fitting will be done using the GPU if available, otherwise the CPU will be used. This can also be specified using the `device` argument, i.e., `gpc.fit(train_data=data_math, algorithm=AE(), device = \"cpu\")`. Currently available fitting algorithms can be found in the [Estimation algorithms](./../estimation_algorithms.rst) section with additional information on how to fine tune each algorithm." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 7, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Epoch: 193. Loss: 20799.9922 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Stopping training after 2 learning rate updates.\n", "INFO: Best model found at iteration 193 with loss 20799.9922.\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Epoch: 2017. Loss: 18708.7871 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Decreased learning rate to: 0.05\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Epoch: 2523. Loss: 18691.8711 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Decreased learning rate to: 0.025\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Epoch: 2607. Loss: 18690.8984 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Best model found at iteration 2607 with loss 18690.8984.\n" ] } ], "source": [ "irtorch.set_seed(42)\n", "train_data, test_data = irtorch.split_data(data_math, 0.8)\n", "gpc.fit(train_data=train_data, algorithm=MML())\n", "mnn.fit(train_data=train_data, algorithm=JML())" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "The `plot` property of our models contains methods for visualization. We can plot the training history to check if we appear to have converged to a good solution. We see that the loss function appear to have converged for both models. In our experience, there is usually slight improvements from training for more iterations even when the loss appears relatively flat. This is especially true for more flexible models. Refer to the [Plotting](./../plotter.rst) section for more information on the available plotting methods." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 8, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "application/vnd.plotly.v1+json": { "config": { "plotlyServerURL": "https://plot.ly" }, "data": [ { "hovertemplate": "Type=Training
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" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "gpc.plot.training_history().show()\n", "mnn.plot.training_history().show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Estimation of latent traits\n", "We can estimate the latent trait scores of the test takers using the `latent_scores()` method. Here we use the ML method." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 9, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 4: Current Loss = 19599.94921875 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 4.\n", "INFO: Finding training data theta scores to use as initial theta estimates...\n", "INFO: Sampling training data theta scores to avoid running out of memory...\n", "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 5: Current Loss = 18665.93359375 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 5.\n", "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 6: Current Loss = 4951.67431640625 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 6.\n", "INFO: Finding training data theta scores to use as initial theta estimates...\n", "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 10: Current Loss = 4928.32080078125 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 10.\n" ] } ], "source": [ "theta_train_gpc = gpc.latent_scores(train_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\")\n", "theta_train_mnn = mnn.latent_scores(train_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\")\n", "theta_test_gpc = gpc.latent_scores(test_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\")\n", "theta_test_mnn = mnn.latent_scores(test_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\")" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "We can plot the latent score distributions to get an overview of the test taker abilities. Since JML trained models make no assumptions about the distributions of the latent scores, these distribution will not be standard normal, and we can see we also have some extreme outliers." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 10, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "application/vnd.plotly.v1+json": { "config": { "plotlyServerURL": "https://plot.ly" }, "data": [ { "alignmentgroup": "True", "bingroup": "x", "hovertemplate": "values=%{x}
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" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "gpc.plot.latent_score_distribution(theta_train_gpc).show()\n", "mnn.plot.latent_score_distribution(theta_train_mnn).show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "The latent scales are arbitrary and can thus be transformed to any other scale as long as the transformation maintains the ordering of the scores. This can be done by providing a scale transformation object to the `add_scale_transformation` model method. For these models, we suggest converting the latent trait scales to *bit scales* instead. Bit scales are ratio scales, and make scores from different models comparable as long as they are fitted to the same test data. We create `Bit` class instances and supply them to the `add_scale_transformation` method for each model. \n", "\n", "The models will now default to using the bit scale for all subsequent operations. We use this below to compute the bit scores with the latent_scores method. Note that we can still compute the latent scores on the original scale by setting the rescale argument to `False` to methods where this is applicable, i.e., `gpc.latent_scores(train_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\", rescale=False)`. Refer to the [Rescaling](./../scales.rst) section for more information on bit scales and other available scale transformations." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 11, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 4: Current Loss = 19599.94921875 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 4.\n", "INFO: Finding training data theta scores to use as initial theta estimates...\n", "INFO: Sampling training data theta scores to avoid running out of memory...\n", "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 6: Current Loss = 18666.03515625 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 6.\n" ] } ], "source": [ "gpc_bit_transformation = Bit(gpc, population_theta=theta_train_gpc)\n", "mnn_bit_transformation = Bit(mnn, population_theta=theta_train_mnn)\n", "gpc.add_scale_transformation(gpc_bit_transformation)\n", "mnn.add_scale_transformation(mnn_bit_transformation)\n", "bit_scores_train_gpc = gpc.latent_scores(train_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\")\n", "bit_scores_train_mnn = mnn.latent_scores(train_data, theta_estimation=\"ML\")" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "If we plot the bit score distribution for each model, we can see that they are more similar compared to the distributions of the original latent variables, both scales ranging from 0 to around 80 bits." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 12, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "application/vnd.plotly.v1+json": { "config": { "plotlyServerURL": "https://plot.ly" }, "data": [ { "alignmentgroup": "True", "bingroup": "x", "hovertemplate": "values=%{x}
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" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "gpc.plot.latent_score_distribution(bit_scores_train_gpc).show()\n", "mnn.plot.latent_score_distribution(bit_scores_train_mnn).show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Item response functions\n", "To show the item response functions, we can use the `item_probabilities()` method in the `plot` model property. Here we plot the curves for item 24 on the bit scale. We can see that the probability of answering the item correctly increases with the latent variable. We see that only test takers with a relatively high bit score have a high probability of responding with a score of 2 on this item." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 13, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "application/vnd.plotly.v1+json": { "config": { "plotlyServerURL": "https://plot.ly" }, "data": [ { "line": { "color": "#636EFA" }, "mode": "lines", "name": "0", "type": "scatter", "x": [ 7.673748016357422, 7.868048667907715, 8.066081047058105, 8.267788887023926, 8.473108291625977, 8.681961059570312, 8.894264221191406, 9.109917640686035, 9.328819274902344, 9.550856590270996, 9.775906562805176, 10.00384521484375, 10.234538078308105, 10.467854499816895, 10.703654289245605, 10.941804885864258, 11.182168960571289, 11.424613952636719, 11.669017791748047, 11.91525650024414, 12.163219451904297, 12.412806510925293, 12.663922309875488, 12.916512489318848, 13.173041343688965, 13.435059547424316, 13.702454566955566, 13.975096702575684, 14.252829551696777, 14.53547477722168, 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"ticks": "" }, "baxis": { "gridcolor": "#DFE8F3", "linecolor": "#A2B1C6", "ticks": "" }, "bgcolor": "white", "caxis": { "gridcolor": "#DFE8F3", "linecolor": "#A2B1C6", "ticks": "" } }, "title": { "x": 0.05 }, "xaxis": { "automargin": true, "gridcolor": "#EBF0F8", "linecolor": "#EBF0F8", "ticks": "", "title": { "standoff": 15 }, "zerolinecolor": "#EBF0F8", "zerolinewidth": 2 }, "yaxis": { "automargin": true, "gridcolor": "#EBF0F8", "linecolor": "#EBF0F8", "ticks": "", "title": { "standoff": 15 }, "zerolinecolor": "#EBF0F8", "zerolinewidth": 2 } } }, "title": { "text": "IRF - Item 24" }, "xaxis": { "title": { "text": "Latent variable" } }, "yaxis": { "title": { "text": "Probability" } } } }, "text/html": [ "
" ] }, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "display_data" } ], "source": [ "gpc.plot.item_probabilities(item = 24).show()\n", "mnn.plot.item_probabilities(item = 24).show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Item parameters\n", "For parametric IRT models such as the GPC model, we can get the estimated item parameters using the `item_parameters()` method. We use the `irt_format` argument to specify that we want to return the item parameters in traditional IRT format (and not as slopes and intercepts). Note that zeros are expected for items with fewer than 4 points." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 14, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "application/vnd.microsoft.datawrangler.viewer.v0+json": { "columns": [ { "name": "index", "rawType": "int64", "type": "integer" }, { "name": "a1", "rawType": "float32", "type": "float" }, { "name": "b1", "rawType": "float32", "type": "float" }, { "name": "b2", "rawType": "float32", "type": "float" }, { "name": "b3", "rawType": "float32", "type": "float" }, { "name": "b4", "rawType": "float32", "type": "float" } ], "ref": "c563939e-de3b-4d3d-8128-996062be4c43", "rows": [ [ "0", "2.5299532", "-2.3100846", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "1", "1.188545", "-1.0117693", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "2", "1.860119", "-1.5010754", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "3", "1.0522846", "-0.62571305", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "4", "1.3585156", "-0.08567573", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "5", "0.72973025", "-0.8714474", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "6", "1.2133107", "0.19813356", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "7", "1.1901332", "-2.0319748", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "8", "0.97952473", "-0.08871434", "-0.0", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "9", "1.1324892", "0.23738699", "-0.30995098", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "10", "1.3068033", "-0.26031554", "-0.68490636", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "11", "1.5982107", "-1.3472066", "-0.6976983", "0.43978286", "-0.0" ], [ "12", "1.4846667", "-1.2092321", "-1.5265465", "0.77701503", "-0.0" ], [ "13", "1.1173106", "0.6542079", "1.539641", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "14", "1.5533623", "0.23578918", "2.6996856", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "15", "0.8078901", "-0.3512182", "-0.8735491", "-0.7955575", "-1.5480866" ], [ "16", "1.2659043", "0.8523043", "0.7486504", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "17", "1.5828214", "-0.24580638", "-0.3369963", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "18", "1.6075329", "0.016158514", "0.9091832", "2.0934138", "-0.0" ], [ "19", "1.3761652", "2.3893223", "3.884833", "4.636078", "4.9364934" ], [ "20", "1.5967482", "-1.4854815", "-2.1061203", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "21", "1.1072096", "-0.3545386", "-1.9297175", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "22", "1.0573795", "-0.73273736", "-0.31211045", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "23", "1.8930397", "0.048051033", "1.340048", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "24", "0.66569537", "0.6183738", "1.0816071", "1.2697948", "0.7378732" ], [ "25", "2.5572119", "1.3503946", "2.5250163", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "26", "1.3960814", "1.8741086", "2.7924256", "-0.0", "-0.0" ], [ "27", "1.2752264", "2.3057318", "4.095278", "5.0669985", "6.079602" ] ], "shape": { "columns": 5, "rows": 28 } }, "text/html": [ "
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For example, we can compare the log-likelihood of each model on our test data. A larger log-likelihood indicates a better fit. We see that in this case, the MNN model fits the data better than the GPC model. Please refer to the [Model evaluation](./../evaluator.rst) section for more information on evaluation methods." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 15, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "tensor(-4951.6743)\n", "tensor(-4928.3208)\n" ] } ], "source": [ "print(gpc.evaluate.log_likelihood(data=test_data, theta=theta_test_gpc))\n", "print(mnn.evaluate.log_likelihood(data=test_data, theta=theta_test_mnn))" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "An assumption of IRT models, commonly referred to as local independence, is that the item responses are conditionally independent given the latent variable. We can check this assumption by computing Q3 statistics for each pair of items using the `q3()` method. Q3 is the correlation between the residuals of two items, and a value close to zero indicates that the item responses are conditionally independent given the latent variable. The function will print the item pair with the highest Q3 value. In this case the Q3 value between item 21 and item 22 is quite large for both models, suggesting that the local independence assumption is violated for these items.\n", "\n", "A tuple is also returned in which the first element is a square matrix with Q3 statistics. As an example, we print all item pairs with the first 7 items. Their Q3 statistics are all close to zero, indicating that the assumption of conditional independence is reasonable for these items." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 16, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 4: Current Loss = 24551.634765625 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 4.\n", "INFO: Largest Q3 is 0.68 between Item 21 and Item 22.\n", "INFO: Finding training data theta scores to use as initial theta estimates...\n", "INFO: Sampling training data theta scores to avoid running out of memory...\n", "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 5: Current Loss = 23594.39453125 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 5.\n", "INFO: Largest Q3 is 0.60 between Item 21 and Item 22.\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ " Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item 5 Item 6 Item 7\n", "Item 1 NaN -0.029 -0.030 -0.048 -0.037 -0.003 -0.007\n", "Item 2 -0.029 NaN 0.040 0.012 -0.024 0.005 -0.064\n", "Item 3 -0.030 0.040 NaN -0.042 -0.003 -0.044 -0.001\n", "Item 4 -0.048 0.012 -0.042 NaN -0.027 -0.015 -0.007\n", "Item 5 -0.037 -0.024 -0.003 -0.027 NaN 0.001 0.029\n", "Item 6 -0.003 0.005 -0.044 -0.015 0.001 NaN -0.019\n", "Item 7 -0.007 -0.064 -0.001 -0.007 0.029 -0.019 NaN\n", " Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item 5 Item 6 Item 7\n", "Item 1 NaN 0.014 -0.048 -0.036 -0.038 0.023 -0.003\n", "Item 2 0.014 NaN 0.060 0.025 -0.000 0.014 -0.053\n", "Item 3 -0.048 0.060 NaN -0.015 0.023 -0.023 0.015\n", "Item 4 -0.036 0.025 -0.015 NaN -0.000 -0.006 0.006\n", "Item 5 -0.038 -0.000 0.023 -0.000 NaN 0.004 0.027\n", "Item 6 0.023 0.014 -0.023 -0.006 0.004 NaN -0.016\n", "Item 7 -0.003 -0.053 0.015 0.006 0.027 -0.016 NaN\n" ] } ], "source": [ "q3_gpc, _ = gpc.evaluate.q3(data=data_math)\n", "q3_mnn, _ = mnn.evaluate.q3(data=data_math)\n", "print(q3_gpc.iloc[:7, :7])\n", "print(q3_mnn.iloc[:7, :7])" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "\n", "If we want to also perform a statistical test, we can set the `sample_hypothesis_test` argument to `True`. This will sample data from the model under the null hypothesis of conditional independence and compute the Q3 statistics for these samples. The p-values are then computed based on the distribution of these statistics. The result is a square matrix with p-values and a small p-value indicates that the assumption of conditional independence is violated. By looking at the first 7 items, we see that on a 5% significance level, the assumption is violated for item pair 2 and 7 for the GPC model. One should note that even under the null hypothesis, one would expect some p-values to be small by chance. Thus one should interpret these results with caution.\n", "\n", "The sampling procedure can be computationally expensive for large datasets, and the number of samples can be controlled using the `samples` argument." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 17, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 4: Current Loss = 24551.634765625 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 4.\n", "INFO: Largest Q3 is 0.68 between Item 21 and Item 22.\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Computing Q3 p-values by null distribution sampling. Sample: 1000 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Finding training data theta scores to use as initial theta estimates...\n", "INFO: Sampling training data theta scores to avoid running out of memory...\n", "INFO: Optimizing theta scores...\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Iteration 4: Current Loss = 23594.384765625 " ] }, { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO: Converged at iteration 4.\n", "INFO: Largest Q3 is 0.60 between Item 21 and Item 22.\n" ] }, { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "Computing Q3 p-values by null distribution sampling. Sample: 1000 \n", "gpc: \n", " Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item 5 Item 6 Item 7\n", "Item 1 NaN 0.314 0.484 0.074 0.086 0.900 0.700\n", "Item 2 0.314 NaN 0.238 0.674 0.360 0.878 0.024\n", "Item 3 0.484 0.238 NaN 0.120 0.924 0.138 0.978\n", "Item 4 0.074 0.674 0.120 NaN 0.338 0.574 0.752\n", "Item 5 0.086 0.360 0.924 0.338 NaN 0.998 0.278\n", "Item 6 0.900 0.878 0.138 0.574 0.998 NaN 0.438\n", "Item 7 0.700 0.024 0.978 0.752 0.278 0.438 NaN\n", "\n", "mnn: \n", " Item 1 Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item 5 Item 6 Item 7\n", "Item 1 NaN 0.638 0.222 0.180 0.194 0.438 0.808\n", "Item 2 0.638 NaN 0.040 0.358 0.994 0.642 0.052\n", "Item 3 0.222 0.040 NaN 0.578 0.400 0.444 0.552\n", "Item 4 0.180 0.358 0.578 NaN 0.942 0.842 0.820\n", "Item 5 0.194 0.994 0.400 0.942 NaN 0.952 0.274\n", "Item 6 0.438 0.642 0.444 0.842 0.952 NaN 0.612\n", "Item 7 0.808 0.052 0.552 0.820 0.274 0.612 NaN\n" ] } ], "source": [ "_, p_values_gpc = gpc.evaluate.q3(data=data_math, sample_hypothesis_test=True)\n", "_, p_values_mnn = mnn.evaluate.q3(data=data_math, sample_hypothesis_test=True)\n", "print(f\"\\ngpc: \\n{p_values_gpc.iloc[:7, :7]}\\n\")\n", "print(f\"mnn: \\n{p_values_mnn.iloc[:7, :7]}\")" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "An alternative method to check the assumption of conditional independence is to use [mutual information difference](./../evaluator.rst#irtorch.Evaluator.mutual_information_difference). We leave this for the user to explore on their own.\n", "\n", "We can evaluate the predictive accuracy of each model on our test data using the `accuracy()` method. We can also use the `predictions()` method to compute precision, recall, and F1-score for each item. Here we average the results over all items. We see that the MNN model does better with all metrics, the largest difference being in the precision." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 18, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "GPC accuracy: 0.7219115495681763\n", "MNN accuracy: 0.7295373678207397\n", "precision 0.555751\n", "recall 0.550781\n", "f1 0.537068\n", "w_precision 0.671989\n", "w_recall 0.721912\n", "w_f1 0.685628\n", "dtype: float32\n", "precision 0.611714\n", "recall 0.556414\n", "f1 0.547949\n", "w_precision 0.699868\n", "w_recall 0.729537\n", "w_f1 0.692096\n", "dtype: float32\n" ] } ], "source": [ "print(f\"GPC accuracy: {gpc.evaluate.accuracy(data=test_data, theta=theta_test_gpc)}\")\n", "print(f\"MNN accuracy: {mnn.evaluate.accuracy(data=test_data, theta=theta_test_mnn)}\")\n", "print(gpc.evaluate.predictions(data=test_data, theta=theta_test_gpc).mean(axis=0))\n", "print(mnn.evaluate.predictions(data=test_data, theta=theta_test_mnn).mean(axis=0))" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Furthermore, we can add grouped residuals to our item response function figures to visualize model fit. For these figures, the test takers are divided into groups based on their latent variable scores. Within each group, the proportion of test takers responding with each score is plotted and compared to the proportion expected by the model. Thus, a good overlap of the data and model dots in the figures indicate a good fit. Both models appear to fit the data fairly well for this item." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 19, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "application/vnd.plotly.v1+json": { "config": { "plotlyServerURL": "https://plot.ly" }, "data": [ { "line": { "color": "#636EFA" }, "mode": "lines", "name": "0", "type": "scatter", "x": [ 7.673748016357422, 7.868048667907715, 8.066081047058105, 8.267788887023926, 8.473108291625977, 8.681961059570312, 8.894264221191406, 9.109917640686035, 9.328819274902344, 9.550856590270996, 9.775906562805176, 10.00384521484375, 10.234538078308105, 10.467854499816895, 10.703654289245605, 10.941804885864258, 11.182168960571289, 11.424613952636719, 11.669017791748047, 11.91525650024414, 12.163219451904297, 12.412806510925293, 12.663922309875488, 12.916512489318848, 13.173041343688965, 13.435059547424316, 13.702454566955566, 13.975096702575684, 14.252829551696777, 14.53547477722168, 14.82282543182373, 15.114665031433105, 15.410757064819336, 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